Wrexham AFC vs Barrow analysis

Wrexham AFC Barrow
75 ELO 66
28.2% Tilt 9.4%
957º General ELO ranking 3561º
Country ELO ranking 92º
ELO win probability
70.5%
Wrexham AFC
17.9%
Draw
11.6%
Barrow

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
Wrexham AFC
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.6%
Win probability
Barrow
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wrexham AFC
+7%
+11%
Barrow

Points and table prediction

Wrexham AFC
Their league position
Barrow
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
88
22º
69
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stockport County
92
92
100%
Wrexham AFC
88
88
100%
Mansfield Town
86
86
100%
Milton Keynes Dons
78
78
100%
Crewe Alexandra
71
71
100%
Doncaster Rovers
71
71
100%
Crawley Town
70
70
100%
Barrow
69
69
0%
Bradford City
69
69
0%
AFC Wimbledon
10º
65
65
10º
100%
Walsall
11º
65
65
11º
100%
Gillingham
12º
64
64
12º
100%
Harrogate Town
13º
63
63
13º
100%
Notts County
14º
61
61
14º
0%
Morecambe
15º
58
61
15º
0%
Tranmere Rovers
16º
57
57
16º
100%
Accrington Stanley
17º
57
57
17º
100%
Newport County
18º
55
55
18º
100%
Swindon Town
19º
54
54
19º
100%
Salford City
20º
51
51
20º
100%
Grimsby Town
21º
49
49
21º
100%
Colchester United
22º
45
45
22º
100%
Sutton United
23º
42
42
23º
100%
Forest Green Rovers
24º
42
42
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Wrexham AFC
Barrow
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Wrexham AFC
Barrow
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 2023
WAL
Walsall
3 - 1
Wrexham AFC
WRE
14%
23%
62%
76 61 15 0
26 Dec. 2023
SWI
Swindon Town
0 - 1
Wrexham AFC
WRE
18%
23%
59%
75 59 16 +1
23 Dec. 2023
WRE
Wrexham AFC
2 - 0
Newport County
NEW
73%
17%
11%
75 64 11 0
16 Dec. 2023
WRE
Wrexham AFC
2 - 1
Colchester United
COL
84%
11%
5%
74 56 18 +1
05 Dec. 2023
WRE
Wrexham AFC
2 - 3
Burton Albion
BUR
75%
15%
11%
75 63 12 -1

Matches

Barrow
Barrow
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 2023
BAR
Barrow
1 - 1
Accrington Stanley
STA
44%
27%
29%
67 63 4 0
26 Dec. 2023
BAR
Barrow
2 - 2
Stockport County
STO
23%
26%
51%
67 75 8 0
22 Dec. 2023
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 3
Barrow
BAR
49%
25%
26%
66 65 1 +1
16 Dec. 2023
SWI
Swindon Town
0 - 3
Barrow
BAR
40%
26%
34%
65 60 5 +1
02 Dec. 2023
MAI
Maidstone United
2 - 1
Barrow
BAR
20%
22%
58%
66 54 12 -1