Wrexham AFC vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2003 |
SHW
2 - 3
WRE
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
WRE
1 - 0
BRE
64%
21%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
NOT
0 - 1
WRE
41%
25%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
CRE
2 - 0
WRE
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
WRE
0 - 0
CHE
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2003 |
BOU
2 - 2
SWI
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
QPR
1 - 0
BOU
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
BOU
2 - 2
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
WAT
1 - 0
BOU
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
POR
2 - 1
BOU
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |