Worthing vs Dorking Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
WOR
3 - 4
LEW
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 2
WOR
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
WOR
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
WOR
2 - 0
COR
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BUR
2 - 1
WOR
23%
21%
56%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Dorking Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 1
DOR
23%
23%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 1
DOR
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
DOR
2 - 0
LEA
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MER
4 - 1
DOR
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
DOR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |