Wörgl vs Kematen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
48.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
6º
6º
27
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
TEL
2 - 1
WOR
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
WOR
3 - 1
TEL
15%
17%
68%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +5 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KUN
3 - 0
WOR
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 1
WOR
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 5
IAC
30%
21%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
KEM
1 - 2
VOL
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 0
KEM
35%
22%
43%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
KEM
5 - 2
IAC
40%
22%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
KEM
1 - 0
KUN
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
5 - 0
KEM
59%
18%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |