Worcester City vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 1
GUI
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CHO
3 - 3
WOR
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 4
SOL
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 0
STO
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
COL
0 - 2
WOR
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
GAI
0 - 1
TOW
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GAI
3 - 3
HYD
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GAI
3 - 1
SOL
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LEA
2 - 1
GAI
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CHO
4 - 1
GAI
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |