Wolves vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
WOL
4 - 3
EAS
56%
21%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
WOL
1 - 6
PEN
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
WOL
2 - 3
PAL
32%
21%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
WOL
0 - 2
MOR
58%
19%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
WOL
2 - 2
LOG
73%
15%
13%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 1
PEN
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 1
PEN
42%
22%
37%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
1 - 3
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
NFU
0 - 4
PEN
8%
14%
78%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
GRA
57%
20%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |