Wolves vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1954 |
CAR
1 - 3
WOL
33%
24%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
ASV
1 - 2
WOL
47%
22%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1953 |
WOL
1 - 2
ASV
74%
14%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1953 |
WOL
3 - 1
MAC
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1953 |
WOL
1 - 2
BUR
72%
15%
12%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1953 |
ARS
1 - 1
BPO
73%
15%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
BPO
2 - 2
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1953 |
HUR
2 - 2
ARS
44%
23%
33%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1953 |
ARS
2 - 2
WBA
69%
16%
15%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1953 |
MID
2 - 0
ARS
40%
23%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |