Winterthur vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WIN
4 - 1
BIE
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FCK
2 - 2
WIN
9%
15%
76%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 5
WIN
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
WIN
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 1
LOC
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 1
BEL
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
BIE
5 - 1
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
5 - 3
WOH
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
FCA
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |