Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
TWE
0 - 0
WIL
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 1
ADO
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
HER
2 - 2
WIL
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 1
SPA
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 1
PSV
22%
25%
54%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 2
RJC
39%
26%
36%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
8%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |