Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
TWE
4 - 0
WIL
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 1
AZA
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FEY
6 - 1
WIL
81%
14%
5%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 6
HER
22%
23%
56%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
WIL
4 - 5
RJC
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
RJC
5 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |