Willem II vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SCH
5 - 0
WIL
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 4
VVV
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
RJC
2 - 2
WIL
81%
14%
6%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 3
TWE
13%
24%
64%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
AZA
3 - 0
WIL
77%
17%
6%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 1
RJC
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 4
NEC
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 0
GRA
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 1
AZA
31%
25%
45%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |