Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1988 |
WIL
1 - 3
BOS
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1988 |
VVV
1 - 1
WIL
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
WIL
2 - 4
VOL
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
FEY
5 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1988 |
WIL
2 - 2
MVV
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1988 |
FOR
1 - 0
PSV
18%
25%
57%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
BOS
0 - 3
FOR
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
FOR
2 - 0
RKC
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
VVV
1 - 2
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1988 |
FOR
1 - 1
RJC
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |