Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
HEL
2 - 1
WIL
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 2
FEY
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 0
GRO
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 3
AZA
20%
22%
58%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
FOR
2 - 1
AZA
16%
19%
65%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
RJC
1 - 1
FOR
73%
17%
11%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 1
ZWO
59%
22%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 1
FOR
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 0
NEC
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |