Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
RKC
1 - 2
WIL
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
WIL
0 - 1
RJC
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
SPA
3 - 1
WIL
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 0
PSV
20%
21%
59%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
TWE
5 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
SCH
2 - 2
UTR
69%
19%
13%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
UTR
2 - 0
GRA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
UTR
1 - 1
RJC
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
UTR
1 - 0
VOL
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |