Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
MVV
2 - 1
WIL
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
AJA
1 - 0
WIL
83%
11%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1989 |
WIL
1 - 1
BVV
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
FOR
2 - 2
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
BOS
5 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
TWE
1 - 1
RJC
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
TWE
3 - 0
VOL
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1989 |
FEY
1 - 1
TWE
66%
19%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
TWE
0 - 0
MVV
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
UTR
2 - 0
TWE
42%
26%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |