Willand Rovers vs Mousehole AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
45%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
16º
15º
58
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 79 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 62 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 47 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 44 |
14º
|
49% | |
|
|
14º
|
42 | 43 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
42 | 43 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 41 |
17º
|
68% | |
|
17º
|
34 | 35 |
18º
|
72% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 34 |
19º
|
72% | |
|
19º
|
26 | 27 |
20º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 35% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willand Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
WUN
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
WIL
5 - 1
PAU
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
WIL
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MAL
3 - 0
WIL
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WIM
4 - 2
WIL
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mousehole AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MAF
0 - 1
YAT
60%
20%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BID
1 - 1
MAF
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
PAU
3 - 1
MAF
20%
19%
61%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
EXM
2 - 2
MAF
15%
18%
67%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
MAF
4 - 0
WUN
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |