FC Wil vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
YFJ
4 - 2
WIL
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
WOH
1 - 2
WIL
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
WIL
2 - 0
KRI
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
BAU
2 - 0
WIL
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 2
BEL
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
FCL
2 - 2
KRI
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
LAU
4 - 1
FCL
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
FCL
0 - 1
WOH
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCL
51%
24%
26%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
FCL
3 - 1
WIN
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |