Wil II vs St. Margrethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
15.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
SEE
1 - 1
WIL
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
WIL
4 - 3
KRE
45%
21%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
WIL
4 - 0
WID
47%
21%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UST
1 - 0
WIL
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
4 - 0
UZW
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 1
WID
35%
21%
44%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
UST
1 - 2
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
UZW
20%
20%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GOS
1 - 0
MAR
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 0
MAR
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |