Wegberg-Beeck vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
2º
2º
32
1º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 2
WEG
17%
20%
63%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
WEG
3 - 3
BGP
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
WEG
22%
22%
57%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
WEG
1 - 1
BER
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VFL
0 - 3
WEG
36%
23%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SIE
2 - 0
KON
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 1
SIE
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 1
PES
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SIE
0 - 1
BWF
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BGP
1 - 2
SIE
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |