WBC vs Transvaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
WBC
3 - 3
BOS
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RHO
2 - 4
WBC
54%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
KAM
1 - 2
WBC
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
WBC
6 - 1
VOO
56%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 4
WBC
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 4
VIC
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BOS
1 - 4
TRA
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2011 |
TRA
3 - 1
RHO
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
TRA
4 - 2
EXC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
TRA
0 - 1
INT
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |