Swarovski Tirol II vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
11º
4º
42
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 0
WAT
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
7 - 0
WOR
73%
17%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TEL
2 - 2
WAT
37%
22%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
IAC
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 0
VOL
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KIT
2 - 2
STJ
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FUG
1 - 2
KIT
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KIT
1 - 1
KEM
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KIT
2 - 0
KUN
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 0
KIT
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |