Swarovski Tirol II vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
11º
9º
26
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
5 - 1
KUN
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
4 - 3
IMS
9%
17%
73%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 0
WAT
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 3
TEL
26%
21%
53%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
REI
1 - 1
WAT
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
KIT
0 - 2
KUF
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KIT
0 - 1
MOT
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
KUN
0 - 0
KIT
9%
18%
73%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
KIT
1 - 1
IMS
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 1
KIT
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |