Warta Sieradz vs Concordia Elblag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
18º
15º
33
13º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Warta Sieradz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
WSI
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WSI
0 - 0
PBI
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WSI
0 - 1
KSB
45%
22%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LWA
4 - 1
WSI
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WSI
2 - 2
13%
17%
70%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Concordia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
LWA
20%
21%
59%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
3 - 3
CON
81%
12%
8%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
SWI
11%
18%
71%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +5 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 0
CON
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
UWA
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |