Walsall vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
COV
1 - 0
WAL
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
WAL
1 - 0
SWI
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
STF
1 - 1
WAL
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
WAL
1 - 1
OXF
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
WAL
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
POR
0 - 2
BOL
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
OXF
2 - 0
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
POR
0 - 3
SHE
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 0
POR
46%
25%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |