Vrapče vs Segesta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VRA
3 - 1
NUK
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VRA
2 - 0
KRK
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
JAP
0 - 2
VRA
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VRA
1 - 0
OPA
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
STU
1 - 2
VRA
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SEG
1 - 0
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
DUG
5 - 1
SEG
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -3 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SEG
3 - 0
VRB
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
NKC
1 - 0
SEG
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
SEG
3 - 2
NKB
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |