Vrapče vs Segesta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
NKG
0 - 1
VRA
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
VRA
2 - 0
DUB
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NEH
0 - 0
VRA
39%
28%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VRA
0 - 0
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
ROV
0 - 0
VRA
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
SEG
1 - 1
KRK
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
JAP
1 - 1
SEG
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SEG
0 - 1
OPA
47%
25%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
STU
2 - 2
SEG
29%
24%
48%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
SEG
3 - 2
VNV
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |