Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Hamburger SV III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11%
8.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
7º
14º
8º
12
16º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 1
VOW
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VOW
1 - 4
DAS
17%
19%
64%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WAN
3 - 4
VOW
29%
21%
50%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VOW
5 - 3
LOH
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
VOW
0 - 4
FCP
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
ATB
69%
15%
16%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
THA
3 - 1
HAM
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 4
NIE
17%
20%
63%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 3
UPH
86%
9%
5%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
NDF
2 - 5
HAM
15%
17%
68%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +2 |