Copa Paulista Knock-outs Last 16
Global 0-2
Vocem vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
64%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vocem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VOC
1 - 0
VOT
14%
24%
62%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 0
VOC
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VOC
0 - 1
ECN
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
VOC
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VOT
4 - 0
VOC
76%
17%
7%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
COM
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
MON
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
BSP
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 3
MON
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
COM
2 - 1
MON
26%
24%
49%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |