Vllaznia vs KF Tirana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
7º
4º
67
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
KUK
0 - 0
VLZ
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
VLZ
3 - 1
ERZ
59%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VLZ
0 - 0
BYL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LAÇ
2 - 0
VLZ
44%
29%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
VLZ
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TIR
2 - 1
EGN
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
TIR
2 - 1
KUK
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
TIR
3 - 1
ERZ
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BYL
1 - 1
TIR
19%
27%
54%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
TIR
2 - 2
KRU
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |