Vitry vs Les Ulis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
4º
33
9º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PSG
1 - 1
VTR
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VTR
2 - 2
LMU
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DRA
0 - 2
VTR
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VTR
2 - 1
AUB
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
VTR
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Les Ulis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LUL
0 - 1
BRE
42%
24%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LMR
1 - 1
LUL
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
LUL
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LUL
2 - 0
PSG
31%
25%
44%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DRA
0 - 1
LUL
53%
25%
22%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |