Vitoria de Sernache vs União de Leiria analysis

Vitoria de Sernache União de Leiria
29 ELO 44
-13.6% Tilt -3%
ELO win probability
18%
Vitoria de Sernache
21.7%
Draw
60.3%
União de Leiria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
Vitoria de Sernache
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.3%
Win probability
União de Leiria
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitoria de Sernache
-11%
+13%
União de Leiria

ELO progression

Vitoria de Sernache
União de Leiria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitoria de Sernache
Vitoria de Sernache
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2020
BEN
Benfica Castelo Branco
3 - 1
Vitoria de Sernache
VIT
68%
18%
14%
30 40 10 0
08 Nov. 2020
ALC
Alcains
1 - 1
Vitoria de Sernache
VIT
26%
22%
52%
31 25 6 -1
04 Nov. 2020
VIT
Vitoria de Sernache
4 - 4
Oleiros
OLE
33%
26%
42%
31 38 7 0
18 Oct. 2020
VIT
Vitoria de Sernache
1 - 1
Carapinheirense
CAR
44%
25%
31%
31 31 0 0
11 Oct. 2020
VIT
Vitoria de Sernache
0 - 2
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
52%
23%
25%
34 26 8 -3

Matches

União de Leiria
União de Leiria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2020
UDL
União de Leiria
1 - 0
Portimonense
POR
10%
17%
73%
42 66 24 0
15 Nov. 2020
UDL
União de Leiria
3 - 1
Carapinheirense
CAR
74%
17%
10%
41 30 11 +1
06 Nov. 2020
MAR
Marinhense
1 - 1
União de Leiria
UDL
30%
26%
44%
42 37 5 -1
17 Oct. 2020
UDL
União de Leiria
1 - 1
Oleiros
OLE
58%
24%
18%
43 39 4 -1
11 Oct. 2020
1DE
1º Dezembro
1 - 2
União de Leiria
UDL
18%
22%
60%
43 30 13 0