Vitoria de Sernache vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
CON
40%
24%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
72%
18%
9%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
ALC
55%
22%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
OLE
3 - 1
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
OLE
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
OLI
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |