Vitoria de Sernache vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 3
RIO
4%
14%
83%
|
30 | 74 | 44 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VVR
0 - 3
VIT
12%
16%
72%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
OLE
33%
26%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
MOR
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GDF
0 - 1
TOR
25%
24%
52%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GDF
2 - 2
IDA
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GDF
1 - 3
PRA
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SER
0 - 2
GDF
29%
24%
48%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
GDF
1 - 0
ORI
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |