Vitoria de Sernache vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
VIT
28%
24%
49%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRA
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
PEN
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALC
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 3
CAL
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAV
58%
25%
17%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 1
CAL
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |