Vitória Guimarães B vs Recreativa de Lamelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.7%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.5%
2.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
14º
8º
24
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 0
VSC
77%
15%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VSC
4 - 2
VIL
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
REB
4 - 2
VSC
78%
15%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VSC
0 - 2
SAO
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BMA
0 - 2
VSC
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Recreativa de Lamelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 3
TIR
13%
17%
70%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
ACD
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 1
SAO
9%
16%
75%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 1
ACD
32%
22%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 2
GON
9%
17%
74%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | -1 |