Virtus Pavullese vs Pelli Santacroce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PIS
1 - 1
VIR
72%
19%
9%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 0
VIR
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 3
FOR
20%
23%
57%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ROS
1 - 1
VIR
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pelli Santacroce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 2
TUT
28%
25%
46%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
PEL
2 - 4
PIS
15%
23%
62%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
PEL
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 1
VIR
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 2
PEL
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |