Virtus Pavullese vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAG
2 - 0
VIR
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
VIR
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 1
CER
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 3
SAN
29%
25%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 1
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MEZ
2 - 0
PEL
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 3
MEZ
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MEZ
4 - 1
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
MEZ
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MEZ
2 - 1
FOR
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |