Virtus Pavullese vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIR
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 2
VIR
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CER
2 - 2
VIR
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 3
ACE
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SCA
0 - 0
VIR
69%
19%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
PEL
67%
19%
13%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PIS
1 - 1
FOR
70%
20%
10%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 5
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 4
FOR
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |