Virtus Entella vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 0
ACD
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
ACD
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 0
ANC
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 4
ACD
16%
22%
62%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
NAP
5 - 0
ACD
88%
9%
3%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 1
BRE
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BV5
2 - 0
AVE
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 1
CAS
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ACD
4 - 0
AVE
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |