Virtus Entella vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
VER
1 - 0
ACD
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 1
ACD
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 2
TRA
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 1
ACD
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
ACD
1 - 1
SPE
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 1
CES
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 0
NOV
44%
25%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
VIC
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 0
NOV
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |