Virtus Entella vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
50.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ACD
2 - 1
VIC
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 2
ACD
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ACD
0 - 0
AVE
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 0
ACD
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PRG
2 - 1
ACD
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
MOD
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
CAG
4 - 4
MOD
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 4
MOD
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 0
PES
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |