Virtus Entella vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACD
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 0
ACG
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 1
ACD
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ACD
0 - 1
ACM
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
ACD
79%
15%
6%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 0
VIN
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 1
BOR
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 2
MAN
16%
23%
61%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
2 - 0
BOR
69%
18%
14%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOR
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |