Virtus Castelfranco vs PD Castellarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ROV
2 - 1
VIR
50%
24%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 1
ACC
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ROS
2 - 1
VIR
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 0
MPO
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
DPC
0 - 0
VIR
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PDC
1 - 1
PON
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SDA
0 - 0
PDC
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PDC
0 - 5
ACC
41%
25%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ASC
4 - 0
PDC
47%
25%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
PDC
0 - 0
CAR
17%
23%
61%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | +1 |