Virginia United vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virginia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
BRK
3 - 2
VIR
34%
22%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
STO
1 - 0
VIR
44%
22%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 1
BAY
30%
21%
49%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
GAP
1 - 2
VIR
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +3 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
VIR
5 - 2
NPI
48%
20%
32%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
LOG
5 - 1
RED
45%
22%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
QUE
6 - 0
LOG
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
LOG
1 - 2
HPH
39%
21%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
IPS
3 - 2
LOG
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LOG
2 - 1
UNI
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |