Vindbjart vs Fredrikstad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
32.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
9º
6º
31
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vindbjart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
VIN
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VIN
4 - 1
HIF
79%
13%
9%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ODD
0 - 1
VIN
66%
17%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VIN
2 - 1
AFK
93%
5%
2%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DON
1 - 3
VIN
28%
20%
52%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2023 |
FFK
2 - 0
SFO
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SJE
2 - 0
FFK
34%
21%
45%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FFK
2 - 0
RIL
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
FFK
73%
16%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
FFK
0 - 2
ETO
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |