Villena vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.1%
8.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ELD
1 - 0
VIL
62%
18%
20%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
VIL
3 - 2
ELC
62%
18%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
ALI
3 - 0
VIL
72%
14%
14%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
SOR
0 - 2
VIL
71%
15%
15%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALZ
69%
16%
16%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ASP
0 - 2
ORI
48%
22%
31%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
YEC
4 - 1
ASP
69%
16%
15%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
ASP
2 - 1
ALB
58%
19%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ASP
1 - 1
LEV
40%
23%
38%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
NAV
4 - 2
ASP
68%
16%
16%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |