Villena vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
14.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
NOV
3 - 1
VIL
75%
14%
12%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CAT
6 - 2
VIL
59%
19%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
VIL
5 - 1
SOR
69%
16%
15%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
ASP
2 - 0
VIL
49%
21%
31%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
NOV
3 - 1
VIL
69%
16%
15%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
ASP
2 - 1
CAS
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
SOR
5 - 2
ASP
74%
14%
12%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ASP
1 - 1
NOV
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
ASP
2 - 0
VIL
49%
21%
31%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
NAV
2 - 0
ASP
55%
20%
26%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |