Villena vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
3.85
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
VIL
6 - 3
NOV
63%
18%
19%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
NAV
3 - 1
VIL
33%
22%
45%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
VIL
3 - 1
ATZ
57%
19%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
HEL
2 - 0
VIL
52%
20%
28%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAS
63%
18%
19%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
ASP
0 - 2
NAV
67%
17%
17%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
ATZ
6 - 1
ASP
87%
8%
5%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
ASP
3 - 1
HEL
50%
21%
30%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
CAS
1 - 0
ASP
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
ASP
1 - 0
ELC
47%
21%
32%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |