Villarreal B vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SAB
3 - 1
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
FCB
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HER
0 - 2
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 0
VIL
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
HUE
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
XER
2 - 2
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 1
UDL
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
NUM
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |