Villarreal C vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 2
VIL
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
SIL
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
PAI
1 - 1
VIL
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 2
TOR
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LEV
2 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
CRE
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 0
NOV
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAT
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BUÑ
0 - 1
NOV
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
ELC
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |